Long Treasuries (TLT) on The Desk
5 Tuesday Target write-ups on Long Treasuries (TLT), newest first. Closed trades show their result.
- Long Bonds (TLT): Selling Storm Prices Into a Drizzle6 October 2026 · Tuesday Target 41/52Long Treasury options price a crash the tape refuses to deliver; why that gap exists, how an iron condor sells it, and the prints that could end it.
- Long Treasuries (TLT): Exhausted Sellers, Capped Rallies18 August 2026 · Tuesday Target 34/52How AI borrowing crowds the Treasury market, why exhausted bond bears leave TLT range-bound, and what that means for options premium.
- Long Treasuries (TLT): Why the Crowded Lifeboat Sinks First7 July 2026 · Tuesday Target 28/52Long Treasuries (TLT) and the disinflation case behind a crowded Fed-hike consensus: wages, oil, Warsh's Fed and what options traders misprice.
- 20+ Year Treasuries (TLT): Paid to Wait While the Long Bond Breaks19 May 2026 · Tuesday Target 21/52TLT after the long bond broke five percent: dictator economics and AI bubble math collide in Treasuries, and what that does to bond option premium.What came of it: The Trade Alert on TLT closed on 9 June 2026, after 27 days, at +15% on the capital at risk.
- Long Treasuries (TLT): The State Lends, the Pipes Refill11 November 2025 · Tuesday Target 46/52Why federal nuclear credit, paused QT and a reopened Treasury build a bid for TLT, and what an options desk waits for before trading the range.What came of it: I closed this trade on 29 December 2025, after 48 days, at +25% on the capital at risk.
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