Iron Condor write-ups

Selling a put spread and a call spread around a range, so time decay pays while the underlying stays inside it. 7 Tuesday Target write-ups use it, newest first, each with the thesis, why it mattered and what to watch, and where the trade has closed, what came of it from the Track Record.

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  ExxonMobil (XOM): Collecting a War Premium on a Quiet Chart

  8 September 2026 · Tuesday Target 37/52

  ExxonMobil (XOM) against costly crude, record diesel and rising long yields: what the letter argues about energy volatility and what to watch next.
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  CrowdStrike (CRWD): Capital Has a Price Again, So Does Fear

  25 August 2026 · Tuesday Target 35/52

  CrowdStrike (CRWD) as free money ends: what higher yields, an AI compute bill and a Jackson Hole week mean for pricing fear into earnings options.
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  Long Treasuries (TLT): Exhausted Sellers, Capped Rallies

  18 August 2026 · Tuesday Target 34/52

  How AI borrowing crowds the Treasury market, why exhausted bond bears leave TLT range-bound, and what that means for options premium.
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  Brazil (EWZ): Rent From a Standoff While the Pentagon Put Frays

  21 July 2026 · Tuesday Target 30/52

  Why a market leaning on a single backstop, a Hormuz oil shock and a Brazil ETF stuck in a moving-average tangle add up to an options angle on EWZ.

  What came of it: The Trade Alert on EWZ closed on 28 July 2026, after 7 days, at +7.1% on the capital at risk.
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  Korea (EWY): The Toll Booth After the Bypass Opens

  14 July 2026 · Tuesday Target 29/52

  Korea (EWY) as a toll collector losing traffic to the SK Hynix bypass, and why post-flush option premium looks rich to my models.

  What came of it: The Trade Alert on EWY closed on 31 July 2026, after 21 days, at +15% on the capital at risk.
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  BlackBerry (BB): Motion Mistaken for Control

  30 June 2026 · Tuesday Target 27/52

  BlackBerry (BB) went parabolic while Hormuz, Warsh and Beijing showed how little anyone controls; what rich premium means for patient traders.
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  Ethereum (ETHA): A Casting Call in the Cockpit and a Bullish Condor

  15 July 2025 · Tuesday Target 29/52

  How the public hunt for Powell's successor pushes creditors toward the exit, and why a bullish condor on ETHA fits the resulting weather.

  What came of it: I closed this trade on 23 September 2025, after 71 days, at -2.6% on the capital at risk.